Cities of Future Past
A
recent Facebook piece on the ten most dangerous cities in America got us
thinking about the link between urban blight and science fiction. The cities chosen in the piece were, with the
exception of Detroit and Memphis, mostly located in the vicinity of a larger
metropolis and were cited because of
their high crime rates. But the pictures
accompanying the sparse captions were more telling, for they showed trash-strewn
vacant lots, boarded up storefronts and decaying houses, that is to say, the
back story for station house statistics.
At some point in our nation’s past, all these cities, such as Camden,
Oakland, and Little Rock, showed great economic promise. Yet the convulsive forces of economics and
politics left them to rot. Many other
similar cities could be added to the list if one considers that the more
successful ones are merely doing a more effective job of compartmentalizing
their blight into mini-disasters, such as Homewood next to Pittsburgh, Roxbury
in Boston or the currently famous case of Ferguson, Missouri. Core areas can be tarted up with development
grants to keep the tourists happy in their security cocoon, but outlying
disctricts often literally pay the price by collapsing into neglect. The area west of Chicago’s Garfield Park is
an example, as are the rings of blight around Houston, successively written off
as the megacity expanded. Urban governments
have dynamited the once-troublesome public housing complexes, sometimes with
odd results, as in the case of Boston’s transforming Columbia Point into a
branch of UMass. However, as with the
abolition of state psychiatric facilities after the 60’s, the misery did not
cease to exist, but dispersed into rundown welfare motels or nomadic homeless
populations. As in the depression of the
30’s (no longer dubbed Great, because it’s obviously not the last), seasonal
hobo camps are popping up everywhere an anonymous patch of woods will give them
cover. They remain invisible because their
inhabitants hide from police, census workers, and even many charitable would-be
helpers. The governments breathe a sigh
of relief at this, since localities want to hush up such detractions from their
real estate values and the feds refuse to include them in unemployment
statistics.
The fate of New Orleans, which we
mention briefly in our novel Life Sentence could be a major case in point. Following the predicted devastation left by
Hurricane Katrina, there was an ensuing breakdown of human institutions all
around the Big Easy. Many police and
emergency workers abandoned their posts to evacuate their families –
understandably so, since there was no realistic evacuation plan. Prisoners were left to their fates or
forgotten as guards saw to themselves.
Only with the arrival of the National Guard reinforcements was there an
improvised attempt to control looting or to scour neighborhoods for
survivors. Within the Superdome, a
microcosm of misery developed among the disparate refugees, with some leaping
off balconies as though Judgment Day was at hand. Finally, the once-teeming Ninth Ward and
parts of New Orleans East were simply red-lined by the banks and deserted,
becoming an eerily precocious urban wasteland.
In the postindustrial world, there is a
possibility that such mini-disasters could become generalized, link up and
expand into an extended dystopia. Paul
Verhoeven’s vision of Detroit or even the more laughable portraits of the Bronx
in Escape 2000 or the City of Angels in Escape
from LA may prove increasingly to be prophetic. It is probably no accident that a Dutchman
gave us the most coherent image so far of future urban desolation, Even in relatively prosperous Holland,
urbanization is taken most seriously, adhering to a wider European concern with
the phenomenon. A visit to any European
city will make this immediately obvious.
Mass transit will whisk the newcomer immediately from Schiphol, Charles
de Gaulle or Rhein-Main into a center city of lively and attractive pedestrian
zones. Contrast this with Washington or
Los Angeles in our own country. The down
side is that even Europe faces the ubiquitous conditions imposed by corporate
economies. They have simply pushed their
mini-disasters to the periphery, most noticeable in Paris’s infamous banlieue or southeast London. Properous economies may be able to avoid this
cycle for a time. In the years it has
taken to replace a gaggle of buildings destroyed in 9/11, China has built
dozens of entire new cities. Yet a
glance around the world at the squalor surrounding Lagos or Cairo will show
that the developing world seems to replace every success with a plethora of
failures. In the matter of urban decay,
the human race is paradoxically united.
Some recent sci fi films even
postulate that the beautiful people will simply abandon a decaying Earth to
live on satellites or on Mars. This is a
logical, if not necessarily probable, outcome to contemplate. In some ways, an orbital platform is the
ultimate gated community. The rich would
no longer need Latino security guards and the limpiadoras could be robotic.
No need for poor-doors in the dwellings.
Better than a luxury suite at the Super Bowl, since there would be no
need to be jostled by the hoi polloi in the parking lots. Just as billionaires are lining up for trips
beyond the ionosphere in space tourism ventures, rooms in the still-unlaunched
(and government-assisted) Bigelow Space Hotel are already booked. Near-Earth may be the Hamptons of tomorrow.
Meanwhile, back on terra firma, the over-populated Earth of Soylent Green or of Asimov’s Caves
of Steel has become more and more threatening to Generation X and
Millenials. Studies show that young people are increasingly aware that a future
in something resembling Beaver Cleaver’s Springfield may be more illusory than
George Jetson’s floating hi-rise. They
are more receptive than their forebears to the challenges of global warming and
the prospects of alternative energy sources, more concerned with cleaning up
the oceans and negotiating population dynamics.
Ultimately, that may be the only way we will ever really manage (or
deserve) an interplanetary destiny.